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Moody’s Cuts Indonesia Outlook to Negative as Markets Slide

The move reflects rising doubts about policy predictability, with confidence rattled since MSCI's transparency warning.

Overview

  • Indonesian stocks fell nearly 3% on Friday and the rupiah weakened to 16,885 per dollar after Moody’s lowered the outlook to negative from stable.
  • Longer-dated dollar bonds slipped by 0.3 to 0.5 cents, with many issues trading near five‑month lows, Tradeweb data showed.
  • Top officials downplayed the shift, with the chief economic minister defending a pro‑growth agenda and the financial regulator pointing to resilient fundamentals.
  • The ratings change followed MSCI’s flag on ownership and trading transparency that triggered an $80 billion equity rout and led to several senior resignations.
  • Foreign investors have sold about $860 million of shares since last Wednesday, as analysts warn of higher risk premia and the possibility of follow‑on actions by other agencies if uncertainty persists.