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Montana Primaries Produce Competitive November Matchups for Open House and Senate Seats

Outside groups and labor unions are shifting resources after the primaries because Cook rates the western House seat likely Republican.

Overview

  • The June 2 primaries finalized nominees for key open contests with Democrat Sam Forstag winning the 1st District Democratic nomination and Republican Aaron Flint winning the GOP nod.
  • Forstag’s narrow comeback prompted his Democratic rival Ryan Busse to concede on Wednesday and sets up a three-way November race that includes Libertarian Nick Sheedy.
  • In the open U.S. Senate contest, Republican Kurt Alme won the GOP primary while Democrat Alani Bankhead advanced and independent Seth Bodnar remains a well-funded wild card.
  • National actors, including the DCCC, labor unions and high-profile endorsers, have already stepped up spending and messaging to frame the general election choices.
  • The seat has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. House in about 30 years and the Cook Political Report’s likely-Republican rating makes this open-seat contest a focus for both parties as they plan strategy for November.