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Modine Secures More Than $4 Billion Hyperscaler Cooling Deal

A long-term contract with a $165 million upfront payment that extends multi-year revenue visibility will require rapid factory ramps that test near-term profits.

Overview

  • Modine disclosed on May 26 a long-term capacity agreement that guarantees more than $4 billion of data-center cooling product supply for 2027–2029 and includes a $165 million upfront payment to fund capacity buildout.
  • The company issued bullish fiscal 2027 guidance calling for total sales growth of 20%–35%, adjusted EBITDA of $650 million–$680 million, and data-center sales growth of 60%–80%.
  • Modine closed fiscal 2026 with a fourth straight year of record revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and data-center sales rose about 73% to $1.1 billion for the year.
  • Rapid factory ramps and startup costs have compressed margins, with Q4 gross margin down to 22.5%, and the company faces tariff-driven input costs and higher working capital needs as it scales.
  • Management plans to spin off the lower-margin Performance Technologies unit by Q4 2026, investors bid the stock higher on the deal, and hyperscalers financing supplier capacity could reshape how data-center cooling is delivered and funded.