Overview
- Germany is currently split between cooler, windy conditions in the north with DWD warnings in more than 120 districts and sunny, dry weather in the south under an Azores‑high influence.
- Multiple global models and ensemble forecasts now show a high probability of a new heatwave building over western and southern Europe around July 8–13, though individual runs differ on exact timing and strength.
- Some model runs project extreme peaks—temperatures up to about 40°C in parts of Germany and much higher values in Spain and France—while other runs show only moderate warmth, leaving significant uncertainty over final highs.
- Recent late‑June provisional records and persistent dry soils raise the stakes because renewed hot, dry weather would worsen low Rhine water levels, heighten wildfire risk and increase heat‑related illness and infrastructure strain.
- Forecasters say the next 72 hours of model runs will be decisive for confidence in the mid‑July outlook, and local authorities and care facilities are already taking precautions, including event cancellations and public warnings.