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Mizuho Raises Circle Price Target as USDC Surpasses Tether in 2026 Transaction Volumes

William Blair describes a market shift to treating USDC as core payments infrastructure.

Overview

  • Mizuho lifted Circle’s target to $120 with a Neutral rating after reporting about $2.2 trillion in adjusted USDC volume versus $1.3 trillion for USDT in 2026, giving USDC roughly 64% share for the first time since 2019.
  • Circle shares recently traded near $115 and have rebounded sharply from early‑February lows, outpacing most crypto‑linked stocks, according to William Blair and CoinDesk.
  • William Blair reiterated an Outperform view, arguing the rally reflects a structural repricing of USDC’s role as a payments base layer supported by compliance, banking ties, and cross‑chain integrations.
  • Bernstein maintained an Outperform rating with a $190 target, while Blockonomi highlights USDC’s market cap of roughly $75–$78 billion and availability across about 30 blockchains.
  • Debate persists over drivers of the surge, with some pointing to short covering and interest‑rate sensitivity even as analysts cite expanding use cases such as Polymarket and agentic commerce.