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Micron Rally Tops $1 Trillion as Market Pins Hopes on June 24 Earnings

Investors are betting company guidance for roughly $33.5 billion in revenue with about an 81% gross margin will show AI memory shortages are keeping prices elevated.

Overview

  • Micron shares have climbed above $1,000 and pushed the company’s market value past $1 trillion, reflecting a massive 2026 rally driven by demand for memory used in AI servers.
  • Management has reaffirmed fiscal Q3 guidance of about $33.5 billion in revenue, roughly an 81% non‑GAAP gross margin, and more than $19 in non‑GAAP EPS, which the market views as the key test when the company reports on Wednesday, June 24.
  • The company says high‑bandwidth memory, or HBM, is sold out through 2026, a claim that analysts use to explain why AI workloads are tightening supply and lifting prices for HBM, DRAM and NAND.
  • Wall Street has sharply raised price targets into the $1,200–$1,500+ range as several firms point to sustained hyperscaler capex plans from firms like Alphabet and Nvidia supporting multi‑year demand.
  • Risks remain: memory is historically cyclical, competitor capacity increases in 2027–28 could relieve tightness, inventory digestion at customers could pull pricing down, and the stock’s premium valuation and heavy ETF weight could amplify losses on any disappointment.