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Micron Lifted as Analysts See Q2 Memory Price Surge on AI Shortage

Multi-year HBM contracts add pricing floors with prepaid capacity, signaling steadier revenue.

Overview

  • KeyBanc’s John Vinh now forecasts a 30% to 50% quarter-over-quarter jump in DRAM and NAND prices in Q2, citing tight supply and heavy AI server demand.
  • Micron is shifting large cloud customers to multi-year supply deals that include pricing floors and prepaid capacity reservations, which reduces earnings swings.
  • Suppliers are prioritizing high-bandwidth memory used with AI chips, and HBM consumes about three times the wafer capacity of standard DRAM, which tightens overall supply.
  • Micron recently completed cash tender offers to repurchase up to $5.4 billion of senior notes, reflecting active balance sheet moves as market conditions improve.
  • Industry watchers do not expect meaningful supply relief until late 2027 when new production capacity is slated to come online.