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Micron Crushes Estimates and Says HBM Shortage Will Last Beyond 2027

The strong quarter points to sustained hyperscaler spending for high‑bandwidth memory while investors now watch supply moves, rental‑rate trends, and competitor capacity as tests of the AI hardware rally's durability.

Overview

  • Micron reported fiscal third‑quarter results after the close on Wednesday, June 24, with revenue of $41.46 billion, adjusted EPS of $25.11, and guidance for roughly $50 billion in revenue next quarter.
  • CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said HBM and other AI‑oriented memory are extremely tight and that constrained conditions should persist beyond calendar 2027, a claim that underpins Micron's sharp guidance and planned capital spending.
  • Shares jumped in after‑hours and helped lift broader chip and AI stocks the next day, but market volatility remains high because earlier weak guidance from peers had already sparked a steep, short‑term selloff.
  • Real‑time signals complicate the picture: prediction‑market bets and Ornn's GPU rental index show B200 hourly rates falling from recent peaks, while Supermicro's Nvidia blueprint and SK Hynix's planned U.S. listing point to strong demand and new investor access.
  • Investors will now watch whether Micron's forecasted supply expansions, hyperscaler purchase schedules, and competitors' capacity plans confirm the company's view, with macro and policy shifts able to quickly change the outlook.