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Mexico Weighs Cuba Oil Shipments After Trump Pressure

U.S. pressure, surveillance concerns, potential migration fallout drive the review.

Overview

  • Mexican officials are conducting an internal review of crude deliveries to Cuba with options that include suspension, gradual reduction, or continuation, and no decision has been announced.
  • President Claudia Sheinbaum and the presidency describe the transfers as sovereign humanitarian actions and note the volumes represent a small share of national production.
  • President Donald Trump publicly rejected any flow of money or oil to Cuba, and Reuters reports he questioned Sheinbaum about fuel shipments during a phone call, while Politico reports a full blockade of Cuban oil imports is under consideration.
  • Officials in Mexico reported U.S. Navy MQ-4C Triton reconnaissance flights over Gulf tanker routes, prompting concern about potential unilateral actions.
  • Pemex filings show that from January to September 2025 Mexico supplied about 17,200 barrels per day of crude and 2,000 of refined products to Cuba valued near $400 million, as some Mexican officials warn a cutoff could trigger a humanitarian crisis and spur migration to Mexico.