Overview
- Mexico’s weather service and water agency, which briefed the National Civil Protection meeting on Wednesday, projected 18–21 named systems in the Pacific and 11–15 in the Atlantic for 2026.
- The season runs May 15 in the Pacific and June 1 in the Atlantic through November 30, and storms receive names once they reach tropical-storm strength.
- SMN expects above-average activity in the Pacific and near or slightly below average in the Atlantic, citing a 61% chance of El Niño developing between May and July.
- The outlook breaks down to 9–10 tropical storms, 5–6 Category 1–2 hurricanes, and 4–5 major hurricanes in the Pacific, with 7–8 tropical storms, 3–5 Category 1–2 hurricanes, and 1–2 major hurricanes in the Atlantic.
- Civil protection steps are underway, including training for more than 1,200 responders and Conagua’s deployment of about 1,400 specialized teams across 21 regional emergency centers to speed flood control and water service in storms.