Overview
- Meteorological agencies are monitoring a broad low over the southern Bay of Campeche that is producing disorganized storms but has a low (about 10%) chance of becoming a tropical cyclone.
- Mexico's SMN says interaction of tropical wave No. 6 with that low will produce intense to very strong localized rains in southern and eastern states including Jalisco, Puebla, Veracruz, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco and the Yucatán Peninsula.
- Yucatán's Protección Civil (Procivy) warns of persistent moisture, strong coastal gusts over 60 km/h and 1.5–2 meter waves that could cause flooding, river rises and hazardous marine conditions.
- A cold frontal surge arriving with the long weekend is forecast to cause sharp temperature drops, possible frosts in highlands and very strong winds up to about 70 km/h that may disrupt travel and damage exposed structures.
- Forecasters say this multi-system episode will produce a mix of hazards—floods, landslides and electrical storms in the south and heat in the far north—and agencies urge residents to follow local Protección Civil and SMN advisories.