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Mexico Banks Post Record 2025 Profits as U.S. Earnings Season Opens With Bank Beats and Mixed Market Reaction

After the nominal high, inflation leaves Mexico’s sector with flat real gains.

Overview

  • Mexico’s private banks earned 278,106 million pesos from January to November 2025, a nominal record up 3.7% year over year, according to CNBV data.
  • On a real basis profits slipped 0.07% with three straight months of declines as Banxico’s rate cuts and slower credit growth cooled margins.
  • Seven systemically important lenders captured 77% of sector earnings, and loan-loss reserves rose 11.9% in real terms through November.
  • The U.S. Q4 2025 season began with JPMorgan and BNY Mellon topping estimates, while Delta guided 2026 adjusted EPS to $6.50–$7.50 per share.
  • Later reports were mixed: Bank of America and Citigroup met or beat forecasts, Wells Fargo missed on revenue, and investors weighed regulatory risks such as potential caps on credit‑card rates.