Overview
- A peer-reviewed paper led by Gaku Nishiyama used MESSENGER topography and a global roughness map to correct tectonic counts and raised Mercury's best estimate of radius loss to about 11.6 kilometers.
- The authors show that heavily cratered, rough regions systematically hide lobate scarps and wrinkle ridges, which likely caused prior studies to undercount contraction by roughly 10% to 30%.
- A larger inferred contraction tightens constraints on Mercury's thermal and interior evolution and favors models with a larger metal core and a thinner insulating regolith.
- The team cautions the corrected figure is likely a lower bound and says ESA–JAXA's BepiColombo laser altimeter, with much finer (≈100 m) topography, will be decisive for confirming and refining the result.
- The study's method could expose similar undercounts on other cratered worlds, notably the Moon and possibly Mars, prompting reassessments of planetary cooling histories.