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Mendoza Locked at No. 1 as GMs Predict a Trade-Heavy First Round

Reluctance to spend 2027 first-rounders may temper how far teams actually move.

Overview

  • Sportsbooks list Fernando Mendoza as an overwhelming favorite for the top pick, and multiple reports say he plans to skip the Pittsburgh green room.
  • General managers Brett Veach and Andrew Berry publicly predicted an active trade market to inject energy into a draft short on sure-thing quarterbacks.
  • League analysts report teams are guarding 2027 first-round picks, which could complicate trade-ups even with several clubs open to moving down.
  • The Jets hold multiple first-rounders and rank near the top in betting to land Alabama QB Ty Simpson, while odds and mocks still lean to an edge rusher at No. 2.
  • Executives expect early runs at offensive tackle and edge, and recent Kiper and McShay mocks align on 15 of the top 16 names, underscoring a tight board that invites targeted moves.