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Markets Reprice as Strong U.S. Jobs Report and IranIsrael Strikes Send Oil Near $98

Rising oil and Treasury yields lift inflation and interest‑rate risks that threaten tech valuations and could trigger systematic selling and capital outflows.

Overview

  • Global markets reeled through Monday as a tech‑led correction and a spike in Brent to about $96–98 a barrel pushed risk assets lower and left Indian benchmarks roughly 1% down on the day.
  • A stronger‑than‑expected U.S. May payrolls print (about 170–172k) pushed Treasury yields higher and helped spark last Friday’s sharp Nasdaq decline of around 4%, which amplified pressure on high‑growth AI and chip names.
  • Renewed Iranian missile strikes on Israel and Israeli retaliation drove the oil surge, increasing the odds that higher energy costs will feed into inflation and keep interest rates elevated for longer.
  • Bank of America and market data flagged that further modest declines—roughly 0.9–2% in major tech indexes—could force trend‑following systematic funds to sell, a risk intensified after leveraged and inverse ETFs dumped a record amount of Nasdaq exposure.
  • Investors are watching U.S. CPI/PPI releases and the Fed’s upcoming meetings for direction, while emerging markets such as India face near‑term stress from heavy FII selling (about Rs 8,776 crore reported), a weaker rupee, and commodity‑driven inflation pressure.