Particle.news
Download on the App Store
3 ARTICLES
·
2w ago

Markets Put Record Odds on Trump’s Removal as Democrats Explore New Paths

The surge reflects heightened talk of removal against long odds in a Republican-run Senate.

Alex Jones takes the witness stand to testify at the Sandy Hook defamation damages trial at Connecticut Superior Court in Waterbury, Connecticut, on September 22, 2022.
TOPSHOT - US President Donald Trump speaks to the press outside the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, on April 13, 2026. Trump refused to apologize Monday for criticizing Pope Leo XIV, after the pontiff called for an end to violence in the Iran war. "There's nothing to apologize for. He's wrong," Trump told reporters, a day after a social media post and comments slamming the US-born pope. (Photo by Brendan SMIALOWSKI / AFP via Getty Images)

Overview

  • Kalshi, a prediction market, put the chance of impeachment and removal at about 28.7 percent Monday after 22.1 percent on April 2.
  • The rise tracks Democratic moves, spurred by concern over a recent remark about wiping out a whole civilization, including Rep. Jamie Raskin’s bill backed by 78 House Democrats to create a nonpartisan 25th Amendment panel.
  • Several Democrats warned conviction is unrealistic because Republicans control the Senate, with Robert Garcia, Greg Casar, and Pete Aguilar urging caution.
  • The White House rejected impeachment talk as partisan, while Alex Jones predicted Democrats would impeach if they win back the House in November.
  • An NBC poll found 37 percent overall approval for the president and 76 percent disapproval among voters aged 18 to 29, and removal would still require a House vote and a two‑thirds Senate verdict.