Overview
- Prediction market prices on Aug. 13, 2026 gave Arch Manning the strongest chance to be the No. 1 overall pick, with Kalshi showing roughly a one-in-three probability for Manning.
- NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah said on the Pat McAfee Show that Oregon’s Dante Moore is his top college quarterback entering the 2026 season because of his natural throwing rhythm and mechanics.
- Notre Dame’s CJ Carr appears in the No. 1 conversation but had lower market odds on Aug. 13, 2026 and is being evaluated for his clean accuracy and size rather than headline name recognition.
- Bleacher Report’s early big board ranks Miami’s Darian Mensah, Arch Manning, and Dante Moore among the top prospects and Jeremiah cited scout 'buzz' about Mensah and first-round potential for Trinidad Chambliss and LaNorris Sellers.
- Coverage and markets reflect a premium on quarterbacks after recent weak QB draft classes, so 2026 performance, roster moves like Dylan Raiola’s transfer to Oregon, injuries, and draft declarations will be decisive for 2027 order.