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Maple Leafs Favored to Take Gavin McKenna No. 1 as Stenberg Narrows the Margin

Extensive in-person vetting and broad mock-draft support have pushed McKenna to the top of Toronto’s list while the club remains open to alternatives or a trade.

Overview

  • The Athletic’s latest mock-draft projection and multiple outlets place Penn State forward Gavin McKenna at or near the top of boards, making him the clear favorite for the Maple Leafs’ No. 1 pick.
  • Scouts and reporters describe the gap between McKenna and Swedish winger Ivar Stenberg as very small, with McKenna prized for dynamic playmaking and Stenberg valued for pro experience and two-way play.
  • Toronto’s front office has conducted intensive in-person evaluations and background checks on McKenna, but team insiders and media coverage say the club has not ruled out selecting a different player or trading the pick.
  • The blockbuster trade that sent Brady Tkachuk to Florida rearranged the first-round order and pushed the Ottawa Senators into new drafting choices, with mock drafters split between taking a skater like Ethan Belchetz or a defenseman such as Alberts Šmits at No. 9.
  • McKenna’s high-level production in the WHL and NCAA and Stenberg’s strong SHL season are shaping a tight pre-draft narrative that will be resolved when teams make their selections later this week in Buffalo.