Majority of Brazilians Back Bolsonaro’s 90-Day House Arrest, Poll Finds

Overview

• An Ipsos/Ipec survey released Saturday found 56% approve the Supreme Court’s decision to place Jair Bolsonaro under 90 days of home confinement for health reasons.
• Nearly half of respondents want him to stay at home after the 90 days if his condition improves, with 49% favoring continued house arrest and 42% preferring a return to prison.
• The order was signed by Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who cited medical literature that recovery from bilateral bacterial pneumonia in older patients can take 45 to 90 days in a controlled setting.
• Views split by 2022 runoff vote, with 82% of Bolsonaro voters backing continued house arrest after the term and 69% of Lula voters favoring a return to the 19th Military Police Battalion in Brasília, known as Papudinha.
• Support to keep him at home is stronger among people in smaller cities, higher-income households, the South, evangelicals, and those 60+, while calls for prison are higher in the Northeast and among younger respondents; the in-person survey polled 2,000 people April 8–12 with a ±2-point margin of error.