Overview
- The Strength in Numbers/Verasight survey, conducted April 10–14 with 1,514 adults and a ±2.6-point margin of error, found 55% support and 37% opposition to a House impeachment vote.
- Support extends beyond Democrats, with 21% of Republicans and 21% of 2024 Trump voters favoring impeachment, while independents back it by 50% to 28%.
- Pollster G. Elliott Morris said the net +18 support is unusual in modern polling and comparable to sentiment during Richard Nixon’s Watergate peak.
- Despite public pressure, Republicans hold the House and no GOP member has endorsed impeachment, a reality Democrats like Rep. Jamie Raskin say blocks action for now.
- Prediction markets diverge on timing, with Kalshi showing 13% odds before Jan. 1, 2027 and 67% before Jan. 1, 2028, while Polymarket puts the chance before the term ends at about 65%, as the Iran war and low approval ratings fuel discontent.