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Mahmood Emerges as Burnham’s Likely Chancellor After Backing 50p Rate

Restoring the 50p additional rate paired with capping pension tax relief could raise billions for the Treasury.

Overview

  • Shabana Mahmood was widely reported as Andy Burnham’s likely chancellor on Friday and her earlier Commons remarks supporting a return to a 50p additional income tax rate have resurfaced.
  • Published calculations show raising the additional rate from 45p to 50p would increase tax bills by about £1,240 a year for someone on £150,000 and about £3,740 for someone on £200,000.
  • Mahmood has previously backed restricting pension tax relief for higher earners as a revenue source and the Institute for Fiscal Studies has modelled that capping relief at the basic 20% rate could raise up to about £22 billion a year by 2029.
  • Opponents and think‑tanks warn changes to pension tax relief would hit public sector workers, deter saving, and clash with the Labour manifesto pledge not to raise income tax rates.
  • No formal policy has been announced and Mr Burnham has only said the government may need to ‘ask for a little more,’ so the incoming chancellor’s selection and early fiscal choices will determine whether these past positions become official plans.