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Maersk Beats Q2 Forecasts and Raises Full‑Year EBITDA Guidance

Elevated freight rates tied to security disruptions in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz drove the upside, creating dependence on route and security conditions that could reverse earnings trends.

Overview

  • Maersk reported a stronger‑than‑expected second quarter on Thursday, with net profit around $1.31 billion, revenue of $15.76 billion and EBITDA of roughly $3.0 billion, topping analyst forecasts.
  • The company raised full‑year underlying EBITDA guidance to $10.5 billion–$12.5 billion and lifted underlying EBIT guidance to $4.5 billion–$6.5 billion, marking a second upgrade in 2026.
  • Higher average loaded freight rates — about $2,746 per FEU and roughly 15% above expectations — were the main driver while container volumes were broadly in line with forecasts.
  • Maersk’s Ocean division led the beat, with operating income jumping to $935 million from $229 million a year earlier, and management kept capex guidance near $10–11 billion while forecasting about 4% container demand growth.
  • Analysts welcomed the beat but warned the gains are rate‑dependent, noting that a sustained return to Suez routings or improved security in the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz could push rates down and pressure margins.