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Macron Orders Expansion of France’s Nuclear Arsenal and Opens Managed European Deterrence Role

Joint activities with partners will begin this year in response to rising security threats.

Overview

  • Macron directed an increase in France’s nuclear warheads and said Paris will no longer publish arsenal totals, citing strategic ambiguity.
  • France detailed a multi‑year upgrade of its forces, including third‑generation ballistic‑missile submarines expected around 2036, M51.3/M51.4 missiles and new TNO‑2 warheads.
  • Germany and France announced visits to strategic sites and joint exercises starting this year, alongside a new high‑level steering group to coordinate conventional participation linked to French nuclear forces.
  • Macron said interested partners include the UK, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Sweden and Denmark, with options under discussion such as temporarily basing nuclear‑capable Rafale aircraft in Europe.
  • Final authority over any nuclear use remains solely with the French president, a stance that drew immediate pushback from nationalist opponents at home.