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LVMH’s Arnault Warns Iran War Could Trigger ‘World Catastrophe’ for Economy

The remarks highlight how war-driven travel fears are eroding the tourist spending that props up luxury sales.

Overview

  • Speaking at LVMH’s annual meeting in Paris, Bernard Arnault warned the unresolved Iran conflict could lead to a global economic crisis.
  • LVMH said the war shaved about 1 percentage point off first‑quarter organic growth, leaving sales up 1% and effectively halving its growth rate.
  • Chief financial officer Cécile Cabanis reported demand drops of up to 70% since late February in travel‑linked channels and Middle East markets.
  • Kering and Hermès posted weak first‑quarter results as tourist spending slowed, and Hermès flagged lower sales to concession stores in the Middle East and in airports.
  • Arnault said growth could return in the second half of 2026 if a deal between Iran, the U.S. and Israel restores confidence, while analysts warn lost regional spending may not fully shift to other markets.