Overview
- This week an AtlasIntel poll showed Lula ahead in a hypothetical runoff with 48.8% to Flávio Bolsonaro’s 42.3%, and Lula also widened his lead in first-round voting intentions.
- Reports that Flávio sought financing from Banco Master, a bank whose controller Daniel Vorcaro is detained in a major fraud probe, opened a damaging credibility gap for his campaign.
- Michelle Bolsonaro publicly withdrew support and accused her stepson of humiliating her, a split that AtlasIntel found 64.1% of respondents see as weakening Flávio and that deepened divisions inside the PL.
- Right-wing commentator Paulo Figueiredo’s remark that “women do not know how to vote,” and Flávio’s days-long delay in denouncing it, amplified criticism from within his own base and among female voters.
- Legal probes tied to Banco Master also touched a Lula ally, Senator Jaques Wagner, who resigned as government spokesman, but polls show limited damage to Lula so far as the campaign heads into the October 4 runoff system vote.