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Lula Declares 2026 Bid for Fourth Nonconsecutive Term

The move recalibrates a race left without Jair Bolsonaro after a 27-year sentence bars him from office.

Overview

  • Lula announced his candidacy during a joint press conference in Jakarta with Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto while on a state visit.
  • Brazil’s constitution allows only two consecutive terms but permits nonconsecutive returns, leaving Lula legally eligible to run again.
  • Bolsonaro remains under house arrest and out of contention after the Supreme Federal Tribunal published his 27-year sentence linked to post-2022 coup efforts, fracturing the conservative field.
  • Lula’s Asia tour continues to Malaysia for the ASEAN summit, with Brazilian media reporting an expected first in-person meeting with President Donald Trump to discuss a 50% U.S. tariff on Brazilian goods.
  • Recent polls place Lula in the lead for 2026 despite substantial disapproval, and reports note a ratings bump after the U.S. tariff even as questions persist about his age and last year’s surgery for a brain bleed.