Overview
- Lula announced his candidacy during a joint press conference in Jakarta with Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto while on a state visit.
- Brazil’s constitution allows only two consecutive terms but permits nonconsecutive returns, leaving Lula legally eligible to run again.
- Bolsonaro remains under house arrest and out of contention after the Supreme Federal Tribunal published his 27-year sentence linked to post-2022 coup efforts, fracturing the conservative field.
- Lula’s Asia tour continues to Malaysia for the ASEAN summit, with Brazilian media reporting an expected first in-person meeting with President Donald Trump to discuss a 50% U.S. tariff on Brazilian goods.
- Recent polls place Lula in the lead for 2026 despite substantial disapproval, and reports note a ratings bump after the U.S. tariff even as questions persist about his age and last year’s surgery for a brain bleed.