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Lucas Giolito Says Model-Driven Offers Have Stalled His Free-Agent Search

His comments underscore how teams lean on projections that can shave dollars off veterans with rebound seasons.

Overview

  • The 31-year-old right-hander remains unsigned two weeks into the MLB season after a 3.41 ERA in 26 starts for Boston in 2025.
  • He told the Baseball Isn’t Boring podcast that talks keep heating up and then going cold during negotiations.
  • He said front offices and agents are pricing him off projection models, which he argues have pushed offers below his target.
  • He is throwing regularly, says he is built to about 75 pitches, and is willing to start in Triple-A or step straight into a rotation.
  • Boston no longer has a spot after adding Ranger Suárez and Sonny Gray, while injuries in Atlanta and Chicago make those clubs potential fits.