Overview
- Security camera footage, which captured a loud buzz and blast early Monday, shows flaming debris over an ice-covered lake in Varėna district near the Belarus border.
- Investigators recovered an internal-combustion engine along with metal and plastic fragments, and they reported a hole in the ice consistent with an explosion but no explosives found so far.
- The Lithuanian military said the object was not picked up by main air-surveillance radars, and officials noted it likely flew at about 300 meters, a height that standard radars often miss.
- Attribution shifted as Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas on Tuesday said it was most likely a Ukrainian drone knocked off course by electronic warfare and possibly linked to a swarm targeting Russia’s port of Primorsk, a claim that remains unconfirmed.
- Authorities activated Plan Skydas and called the National Security Commission to meet Tuesday, reported no current public threat, and said new low-altitude radars are on order for 2026–2028 after similar cross-border drone and balloon incidents in 2025 raised NATO defense concerns.