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Lilly’s GLP‑1 Surge Shifts Focus to International Rollouts

Strong Q2 results have pushed analysts to treat Foundayo’s overseas launch and upcoming retatrutide filings as the key tests of whether rising volumes can make up for falling prices.

Overview

  • Lilly reported a blowout second quarter, with revenue up about 48% and adjusted earnings per share of $8.38, and it raised full‑year revenue and EPS guidance after the Aug. 5 earnings release.
  • Foundayo had a modest U.S. debut of roughly $98 million but Lilly has filed in more than 40 countries and plans an overseas rollout in early 2027 that analysts say could drive much of the drug’s long‑term sales.
  • Mounjaro showed strong international growth last quarter, with reported gains of about 55% in Europe, 30% in Japan, and 93% in China, supporting Bank of America’s view that non‑U.S. obesity markets could eventually outsize the U.S.
  • Medicare’s GLP‑1 Bridge went live on July 1 and expanded coverage to about 20 million eligible beneficiaries, which has helped volume grow even as realized U.S. net sales per prescription have declined.
  • Lilly disclosed positive Phase III retatrutide results and plans a U.S. filing in Q1 2027, leaving investors to watch whether new drugs and overseas launches can sustain growth as prices fall and valuation risk remains.