Overview
- The May 9 vote, triggered by Sussan Ley’s resignation, now features six confirmed contenders: One Nation’s David Farley, the Nationals’ Brad Robertson, Liberal Raissa Butkowski, independent Michelle Milthorpe, Greens candidate Richard Hendrie and Family First’s Rebecca Scriven.
- The Liberals chose Albury councillor and lawyer Raissa Butkowski on Sunday, and Angus Taylor and Jane Hume joined her in Albury on Monday to kick off the campaign, with Ley notably absent.
- Resolve polling conducted March 9–14 shows One Nation on 24% nationally ahead of the Coalition on 22%, and finds half of voters open to backing minor parties or independents.
- An Australia Institute survey reported by PerthNow indicates One Nation leads Farrer on primary votes ahead of Milthorpe, with Liberals and Nationals behind, though final outcomes are expected to hinge on preferences.
- Nationals leader Matt Canavan and One Nation’s Barnaby Joyce signaled hard fights over how‑to‑vote cards, as candidates center messages on fuel prices and supply, the Albury hospital upgrade push and Murray–Darling water management.