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LFI’s Guiraud Leads Roubaix First Round With 46.5% in Ifop Estimate

Rivals race to unite behind a single list in a likely runoff to prevent an LFI-led city hall.

Le député LFI David Guiraud, le 15 mars 2026 à Roubaix
Le député insoumis David Guiraud s'exprime devant son QG de campagne, le 15 mars 2026 à Roubaix
Le député LFI David Guiraud, le 15 mars 2026 à Roubaix
Le député LFI David Guiraud, le 15 mars 2026 à Roubaix

Overview

  • The Ifop-Fiducial projection for TF1-LCI and Sud Radio places Alexandre Garcin at 20.3%, Karim Amrouni at 16.7%, and RN’s Céline Sayah at 12.2%, with figures pending official results.
  • Roubaix, a city of nearly 100,000 residents, would become the largest municipality governed by LFI if David Guiraud prevails after the second round.
  • French municipal rules require an absolute majority to win outright in round one, leaving Guiraud short of immediate victory despite his commanding lead.
  • Guiraud called the result very encouraging and said his camp must mobilize abstentionists and prepare thoroughly for the runoff.
  • The race is shaped by recent upheaval after 2020 winner Guillaume Delbar’s tax-fraud conviction, which led to his replacement by current mayor Alexandre Garcin in December.