Overview
- After two days of talks, Sébastien Lecornu reported an absolute majority in the Assembly opposed to dissolution and said conditions exist to appoint a prime minister quickly.
- Lecornu said he detected a shared willingness to secure a 2026 budget before December 31, arguing this convergence reduces the likelihood of new elections.
- The possible suspension of the 2023 pension reform is on the table, with Bercy assessing the fiscal hit as costing billions by 2027 and Elisabeth Borne signaling openness, though the PS says it wants firmer guarantees.
- The Rassemblement National maintains it will systematically censure any government until dissolution or the president’s departure, while LFI’s motion of destitution is being examined and is viewed as unlikely to succeed.
- Macron must still choose a path — appoint a new head of government, call fresh legislative elections, or weigh calls such as Édouard Philippe’s push for an early presidential vote — in a chamber with no stable majority.