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Leaked U.S. Intel Says Iran’s Missile Network Largely Intact as White House Denies

The findings recast the risk picture for Hormuz shipping.

Overview

  • Iran’s missile capacity, detailed in a New York Times report Wednesday based on early‑May U.S. intelligence, includes restored access to 30 of 33 sites along the Strait of Hormuz and about 70% of mobile launchers and pre‑war missile stocks.
  • The assessments say roughly 90% of underground missile facilities remain at least partly operational, leaving ships transiting the narrow Hormuz chokepoint within range on a route that carries about 20% of global oil and gas.
  • The White House rejected the reporting, with spokesperson Olivia Wales calling it “virtual treason,” and the Pentagon’s Joel Valdez accusing newspapers of serving as public relations for Iran.
  • Separate reporting details heavy U.S. munitions use—more than 1,000 Tomahawk cruise missiles and about 1,300 Patriot interceptors—far above annual production, raising worries about resupply if large‑scale fighting resumes.
  • Le Figaro and L’Express relayed the intelligence findings that cut against repeated claims by President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that Iran’s forces were “decimated,” even as a fragile ceasefire leaves the region on edge.