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Latest Runs Nudge Weekend Nor’easter Offshore, Trimming Inland Snow Risk

Forecast confidence remains low despite a morning shift offshore in the American model.

Overview

  • A low is forecast to develop off the Carolinas Friday into Saturday, with any New England effects most likely later Sunday into early Monday.
  • WGAL reports the latest American model run tracks the system east and keeps snow away from South-Central Pennsylvania, aligning with recent European and Canadian guidance.
  • WMUR notes potential outcomes still range from a coastal brush with snow and wind to an out-to-sea miss, as earlier American runs had at times brought the storm closer.
  • Astronomical high tides raise the risk of splash-over and minor coastal flooding regardless of the exact track, with tides to watch late Sunday night and late Monday morning.
  • Bitter cold persists through the week with subzero wind chills at night and generally dry conditions until the weekend, and forecasters expect clearer model agreement within 24 to 48 hours.