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Lagarde Says ECB Has Not Decided on Rates as Energy Shock Clouds Outlook

Her comments suggest the bank will wait for clearer data.

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde addresses the press following the ECB's Governing Council meeting, at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, March 19, 2026. REUTERS/Jana Rodenbusch
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde says the eurozone is facing many risks due to the Middle East war

Overview

  • Christine Lagarde told Bloomberg TV the European Central Bank has not chosen a rate move because the war’s impact on the euro-area economy is still unclear.
  • She said the current outlook sits between the bank’s baseline forecast and its harsher adverse scenario.
  • The ECB’s severe scenario, published last month, projected 4.8% inflation next year if energy costs rise much further.
  • Her remarks cooled market bets on a near-term rate hike that had grown after the Strait of Hormuz closure pushed fuel prices higher.
  • Lagarde rejected talk of stepping down early and said she would not leave the job.