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Labour Overtakes Reform in More In Common Poll

The shift gives the new prime minister fresh momentum and could change betting markets and party tactical choices.

Overview

  • More In Common’s weekly tracker, published Monday, shows Labour on 28% and Reform on 24% from a sample of 2,061 people polled between July 24 and 27.
  • The result is Labour’s first lead in this tracker since March 2025 and its highest share in the poll since November 2024.
  • Prime Minister Andy Burnham cautioned against reading too much into a single survey and said he will focus on youth unemployment, social care and housing this week.
  • Commentators warned that while one poll is not definitive, repeated similar results could move betting markets and prompt parties to rethink campaign timing or tactics.
  • Other parties in the poll were Conservatives 22% (no change), Liberal Democrats 12% (+1) and Greens 8% (-3), the Greens’ lowest showing in this tracker since last October after a leadership change.