Overview
- The latest Kyodo projection indicates the Liberal Democratic Party is likely to secure at least 233 of 465 seats, enough for a solo majority.
- The LDP is seen ahead in about 180 of 289 single-member constituencies and is projected to gain around 70 proportional seats.
- Combined with the Japan Innovation Party, the ruling bloc could reach the 261-seat threshold for an absolute stable majority that controls all committees.
- The Centrist Reform Alliance is expected to underperform, with estimates of roughly 60 constituency wins and about 50 proportional seats, as public expectations remain low.
- About 20% of voters remain undecided as cost-of-living relief tops concerns, with parties proposing measures such as consumption-tax cuts on food.