Overview
- A new Public Policy Polling survey shows Raja Krishnamoorthi at 29 percent and Juliana Stratton at 27 percent with 31 percent undecided, while other polls vary widely, including a Tulchin Research result giving Krishnamoorthi a 16-point lead.
- Federal Election Commission figures show Krishnamoorthi has raised $28.7 million and has saturated TV since July, as Stratton’s advertising grew after a $5 million contribution from Governor J.B. Pritzker to the Illinois Future PAC.
- Kalshi betting odds currently give Krishnamoorthi a 57 percent chance to win to Stratton’s 42 percent, reflecting a race that has tightened in recent weeks.
- The top Democrats draw clear policy contrasts on immigration enforcement, the federal minimum wage—Stratton backs $25 while Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly support $17—and how to approach judicial nominations from President Donald Trump.
- Criticism over donor ties continues, including Krishnamoorthi’s past contributions from Trump allies and an ICE contractor executive, after which he donated $33,000 to immigrant-rights groups, as Kelly trails the top two but remains active on air.