Overview
- Warsh, confirmed by the Senate this week, took the gavel Friday as Jerome Powell ended his chairmanship yet kept his voting seat on the Federal Reserve Board.
- Inflation quickened to 3.8% year over year in April following Tuesday’s consumer price report, and Wednesday’s wholesale gauge jumped 1.4% for the month, reinforcing market bets that rate cuts are unlikely soon.
- Warsh has signaled faster shrinking of the Fed’s $6.5 trillion balance sheet and less forward guidance, but any change to interest rates still requires a majority of the 12 voting members on the Federal Open Market Committee.
- Powell remains on the board after the Justice Department dropped its criminal probe into Fed renovations, with a possible inspector general review still pending and with Powell citing the need to safeguard the central bank’s independence.
- Households are feeling the squeeze as Iran‑related energy shocks and new tariffs lift fuel and import costs, wages trail prices, and retailers report buyers delaying big‑ticket purchases.