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JPMorgan Says Small but Growing Share of U.S. Households Are Losing Ground to Inflation

Higher energy costs plus reduced household cash buffers have raised risks to spending, credit quality, the Federal Reserve's policy path.

Overview

  • JPMorgan executive Marianne Lake said the bank sees broad consumer resilience but a small and increasing group whose wage gains are not keeping up with inflation.
  • Lake told investors that lower-income customers used about 20% to 25% of extra tax-refund cash to cover higher gas and energy costs, reducing their financial cushions.
  • Banks report strong demand for loans and cards even as higher gasoline prices have pushed up essential spending and credit-card activity.
  • The bank warned that if energy-driven inflation stays higher for longer, wages may fail to catch up and that could weaken spending and raise loan losses.
  • Lake made the remarks at the Morgan Stanley U.S. Financials Conference on June 9, a development that follows April's jump in inflation tied to higher energy prices from the Iran conflict.