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JPMorgan: One in Five Bitcoin Miners Now Unprofitable as Mining Stress Intensifies

The gap between market price and JPMorgan’s $78,000 production-cost estimate is forcing coin sales and machine shutdowns that are pushing network difficulty lower and favoring more efficient operators.

Overview

  • JPMorgan reported Friday that Bitcoin has traded below its estimated all‑in production cost for five straight months and that roughly 15–20% of miners are currently unprofitable.
  • Publicly listed miners sold more than 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026 to fund operations, a volume that exceeded their total sales for all of 2025 and added near‑term selling pressure to the market.
  • The network has already adjusted: mining difficulty fell about 10% in early June and hashrate dropped roughly 12%, and JPMorgan found the difficulty‑to‑price beta rose to about 0.62 showing faster miner responses to price moves.
  • Mining revenue per unit of computing power (hashprice) is depressed near $28–$33 per PH/s/day, and CoinShares data show machines using electricity above about $0.06 per kWh are generally uneconomic, accelerating shutdowns and industry consolidation.
  • Analysts say continued mining liquidations could keep downward pressure on price and temporarily weaken network security while large holders and falling exchange reserves offer a possible contrarian upside if accumulation continues.