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Japan Votes in Snap Lower House Election Testing Takaichi's Mandate

Heavy snow is expected to depress turnout, potentially magnifying organized voting blocs.

Overview

  • Polling stations opened for a nationwide vote to fill 465 seats, with 289 chosen in single-member districts and 176 by proportional representation, and broadcasters set to issue projections when polls close at 8 p.m.
  • Pre-election surveys point to the LDPJapan Innovation Party coalition winning more than 300 seats, with 310 seats enabling overrides of the opposition-controlled upper chamber.
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has pledged to resign if the ruling coalition fails to retain a majority.
  • Takaichi's platform centers on higher defense spending, economic stimulus, and a two-year suspension of the 8% sales tax on food.
  • Forecasts of up to about 70 centimeters of snowfall risk lowering turnout, a dynamic that could boost mobilized groups such as Soka Gakkai-linked networks as parties urge early voting and arrange rides to polling sites.