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Jackson Pulls Narrow Lead Over Bottoms in Georgia Governor Race

Massive Jackson ad spending plus his refusal to join multiple debates raise the stakes for turnout before early voting begins.

Overview

  • A Rasmussen Reports poll published Sept. 16 shows Republican Rick Jackson ahead 48% to 45% over Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms with a 3-point margin of error and 7% undecided.
  • Bottoms has pressed for a six-forum debate series while Jackson has declined several invitations and so far agreed only to a single town-hall–style joint appearance, leaving Bottoms to speak alone at the first scheduled Macon forum.
  • AdImpact data published Sept. 15 finds Jackson spending roughly nine to ten times more on broadcast and reserved ads than Bottoms, with reported general-election aired spending near $75.8 million versus $8.2 million.
  • The race is sharply divided by race, age and gender — Jackson leads among white and older voters while Bottoms leads among Black, Hispanic and younger voters — making targeted turnout efforts decisive.
  • Early voting opens Oct. 13 and both campaigns are shifting toward voter contact and the October joint events, a dynamic that could determine whether the contest goes to the Nov. 3 ballot or a Dec. 1 runoff.