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Italy’s Tax Burden Reaches 11-Year High, Peaking at 51.4% in Q4

The figures leave the 2025 deficit at 3.1% of GDP, dimming hopes of a swift exit from EU budget oversight.

Overview

  • Istat, which reported Friday, said tax pressure reached 43.1% in 2025 and 51.4% in the fourth quarter, the highest since 2014.
  • Tax pressure means the share of taxes and social contributions in GDP, which rose by 0.7 percentage points from 2024.
  • The deficit-to-GDP ratio stayed at 3.1% for 2025, and Istat will send the final figure to Eurostat on April 22.
  • Household income rose 2.4% for the year but fell 0.4% in Q4, while purchasing power slipped 0.8% and families spent more and saved less.
  • Non‑financial firms saw profit rates edge down to about 43% as investment intensity rose to roughly 25%, with household investment falling, especially in housing.
  • Government sources linked higher tax take to more people in work and pledged future tax cuts, while opposition parties called the results a policy failure.
  • Economist Carlo Cottarelli cited fiscal drag, stronger taxes on financial gains, stock market strength, and less tax evasion from e‑invoicing and card payments as key drivers.