Overview
- Forecasters describe a persistent corridor of Atlantic fronts producing new deteriorations roughly every 48 hours, with a more organized impulse due 19–20 February.
- Models indicate a marked temperature drop that will lower the snowline, with heavy falls along Alpine border areas and the potential for low-elevation snow in parts of the North and the Apennines.
- Very strong winds are expected in exposed zones, with gusts near 100–120 km/h on Sardinia and lower Tyrrhenian coasts, heightening the risk of heavy seas and coastal storm surge.
- A partial respite is in place Tuesday with a largely sunny Wednesday before conditions worsen again late in the week as the new disturbance arrives.
- Guidance points to high pressure rebuilding over the weekend, returning more stable, milder conditions by Sunday, especially across central and northern regions.