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Italian Investigators Say Bayesian Sinking Was Not Caused by Storm

Prosecutors now focus on crew decisions rather than weather in a potential criminal case.

Overview

  • Preliminary findings released Friday describe the weather as a manageable squall and say the yacht sank after crew errors and safety devices were not activated.
  • Prosecutors are weighing negligent shipwreck and multiple manslaughter charges against captain James Cutfield and crew members Tim Parker Eaton and Matthew Griffiths, with no guilt determined.
  • The UK Marine Accident Investigation Branch’s interim report last May pointed to hurricane‑force beam winds and stability gaps, saying the yacht could not recover once it heeled past about 70 degrees.
  • Prosecutor Angelo Cavallo plans to inspect the raised wreck later this month, and the team aims to complete a final report by August 19, 2026.
  • Seven people died in the August 2024 sinking, including owner Mike Lynch and his 18‑year‑old daughter, and the builder and survivors still dispute whether crew mistakes or extreme weather caused it.