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Israel’s Pre‑Election Polls Diverge Sharply as Netanyahu Retains Edge

Opposition figures press for unity to avoid wasted votes.

Overview

  • One Channel 14 poll gives the pro‑Netanyahu bloc 65 of 120 Knesset seats, with Likud leading at 34.
  • Channel 12 reports a much closer race, tying Likud and the Bennett–Lapid Together list at 25 seats each and leaving the opposition short of a majority without Arab-party support.
  • Lazar Research for Maariv shows the opposition near 60 seats versus about 50 for the coalition, yet still dependent on Arab parties such as Ra’am and Hadash–Ta’al to form a government.
  • Scenario polling indicates mergers could flip the board, with a joint YasharYisrael Beytenu slate modeled at about 25 seats and one Eisenkot‑led merger reaching 61 seats without Arab parties.
  • Across surveys, Benjamin Netanyahu ranks as the preferred prime minister in head‑to‑head questions.