Overview
- This week Israeli intelligence passed Washington a specific warning that it says points to a new Iranian plan to assassinate President Donald Trump, but U.S. agencies have not publicly vetted the material and some officials view its motive with scepticism.
- President Trump declared the ceasefire "over" at the NATO summit and the U.S. military carried out renewed strikes that U.S. Central Command said hit roughly 90 targets along Iran’s coast to degrade its ability to threaten navigation.
- The latest rounds of U.S. strikes followed Iranian attacks on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran then launched missiles and drones against regional sites and U.S. partner facilities.
- Commercial traffic through the Strait has slowed, insurance costs and market anxiety have risen, and the U.S. Treasury revoked a waiver that had allowed limited Iranian oil sales, raising economic pressure on diplomacy.
- The warnings come against a backdrop of retaliatory vows after the 2020 killing of Qassem Soleimani and Iran’s recent funeral displays targeting Trump, and U.S. officials say narrow "technical talks" with Tehran continue even as the truce erodes.