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Israel Signals Imminent Ultimatum on Hamas Disarmament as U.S. Ties Gaza Rebuild to Verification

U.S. plans make Gaza rebuilding, including any stabilization force, contingent on verified Hamas disarmament.

Overview

  • Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said Hamas will receive a near-term deadline to disarm and asserted the IDF would move to occupy Gaza if it refuses, claiming international and U.S. backing.
  • Smotrich added that the military has drafted plans and is weighing “two or three” operational alternatives for a potential move beyond the ceasefire’s Yellow Line, where Israel still controls over half the Strip.
  • Hamas figures, including Ghazi Hamad and Khaled Mashaal, publicly rejected disarmament, while documents reported by Israeli media indicate the group is embedding loyalists into civilian institutions to preserve influence.
  • Washington’s framework advanced with roughly $5–7 billion in reconstruction pledges and an International Stabilization Force that could reach about 20,000 personnel, with initial commitments from five countries.
  • The ceasefire remains fragile, with Gaza authorities reporting at least 615 deaths since it began and Israeli forces citing ongoing tunnel clearances and security incidents along the truce line.