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Islamic State Rebounds as Somalia Hub Emerges Under Mumin

Reporting points to a decentralized network exploiting reduced Western counterterrorism pressure to expand across the Sahel.

Overview

  • The Times reports that Abdul Qadir Mumin, a former Leicester preacher, is believed to be leading from Puntland with an estimated 1,200 fighters.
  • Islamic State now operates as a franchise network, forming alliances with local militants across North Africa and the Sahel to target civilians and security forces.
  • The Sahel accounted for about 51% of global terrorism deaths last year, underscoring the region's centrality to the current threat.
  • French counterterrorism units and UN peacekeepers have withdrawn from parts of the region as Mali and partners turned to Russia's Wagner forces with limited protection against IS franchises.
  • Recent attacks linked to the group span Iran, Russia, Germany and the United States, and roughly 8,500 suspected affiliates remain in northeast Syria detention camps with mass breakout risks reported.